7th CPC Expected DA/DR from January, 2020 – Increase of 4% from 17% to 21% and 9% increase in 6th CPC DA

7th CPC Expected DA/DR from January, 2020 – Increase of 4% from 17% to 21% and 9% increase in 6th CPC DA
All India Consumer Price (Industrial Workers) Index Number [CPI(IW)] for October, 2019 has released by Labour Bureau. CPI-IW for October, 2019 increased by 3 points and pegged at 325 (three hundred twenty five). And with this increase in AICPIN the Central Govt. Employees and Pensioners are expected to get 4% increase in Dearness Allowance with effect from January, 2020 in 7th CPC Pay structure thus the existing rate of 17% expected to be 21%.  On the other hand employees who are drawing their pay in pre-revised 6th CPC pay structure will get 9% increase in Dearness Allowance w.e.f. January, 2020 at the rate of 173%, which is currently 164%.
Detail calculation of DA from January, 2020 to be 21% in 7th CPC & 173% in 6th CPC pay structure with AICPIN of October-2019 is furnished in undermentioned table.  Following 4 scenarios are illustrated in the calculation table:-

1st ScenarioMinimum 4 points cumulative decrease from November & December, 2019 ACPIN will decrease the expectation of January, 2020 DA/DR to 20%.

2nd Scenario Expectation in no change in November & December, 2019 ACPIN is confirming January, 2020 DA/DR to be 21%

3rd ScenarioFrom a minimum 12 points cumulative increase from November & December, 2019 ACPIN the expectation of 6th CPC January, 2020 DA is increasing to 174%

4th Scenario – A minimum 18 points cumulative increase from November & December, 2019 ACPIN will required to increase the expectation of DA/DR from January, 2020 from 21% to 22%

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Expected Dearness Allowance from January, 2020  
Table by www.staffnews.in
Expectation Increase/ Decrease in Index Month Base Year 2001 = 100 Total of 12 Months Twelve Monthly Average % Increase Over 115.76 For 6 CPC DA % Increase Over 261.42 For 7 CPC DA 6CPC DA announced and expected 7CPC DA announced and expected
Dearness Allowance/ Relief from July-2019 164% 17%
3 Jul,19 319 3691 307.58 165.71% 17.66% 9 points increase in last 4 months ACPIN
1 Aug,19 320 3710 309.17 167.08% 18.26%
2 Sep,19 322 3731 310.92 168.59% 18.93%
3 Oct,19 325 3754 312.83 170.24% 19.67%
1st Scenario -2 Nov,19 323 3775 314.58 171.75% 20.34% 4 points decrease in next two months
-2 Dec,19 321 3795 316.25 173.19% 20.97%
Expected DA/DR from January-2020 173% 20%
2nd Scenario Nov,19 325 3777 314.75 171.90% 20.40% No increase/ decrease in next 2 months
Dec,19 325 3801 316.75 173.63% 21.17%
Expected DA/DR from January-2020 173% 21%
3rd Scenario 6 Nov,19 331 3783 315.25 172.33% 20.59% 12 points increase in next two months
6 Dec,19 337 3819 318.25 174.92% 21.74%
Expected DA/DR from January-2020 174% 21%
4th Scenario 9 Nov,19 334 3786 315.50 172.55% 20.69% 18 points increase in next two months
9 Dec,19 343 3828 319.00 175.57% 22.03%
Expected DA/DR from January-2020 175% 22%
7th CPC Dearness Allowance/Relief w.e.f. January, 2020
expected to increased by 4% from 17% to 21%
6th CPC Dearness Allowance/Relief w.e.f. January, 2020
expected to increased by 9% from 164% to 173%
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Press Release of AICPIN for October, 2019 increased by 3 points and pegged at 325

Source : staffnews

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